In this research paper, I determine equilibrium real exchange rate of Algerian Dinar (DZD) in order to see the influence of fundamental factors toward Algerian Dinar exchange rate, and to understand the appropriate level or sustainability long term trend. Furthermore, I figure out the misalignment for real exchange rate of Algerian dinar. The period of this research paper covers the post crisis era from 1980 to 2009 (quarterly). Using co-integrating regression, I find that variables OIL, GC, LQ, TR, NCF, CF, OPEN and TT have significant influence to real exchange rate in the long run. Misalignment episode gives us seven patterns of situation during this period which are undervaluation during the periods: 1981Q1-1984Q2, 1988Q1-1992Q4, 1994Q2-1996Q4, and 2002Q3-2008Q2; and overvaluation during the periods: 1984Q3-1987Q4, 1993Q1-1994Q1, and 1997Q1-2002Q2.
Published in | International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences (Volume 2, Issue 5) |
DOI | 10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12 |
Page(s) | 277-284 |
Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2014. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Real Effective Exchange Rate, BEER, Algeria, Oil Price, Oil Exporting Country
[1] | Azali, M., M.S. Habibullah and A.Z. Baharumshah (2001) Does PPP hold between Asian and The Japanese Economies? Evidence Using Panel Unit Root and Panel Cointegration, Japan and the World Economy, 13, 35-50. |
[2] | Baffes, J., I. Elbadawi, and S. O'Connell. (1999) "Single-Equation Estimation of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate." World Bank, Policy Research Department, Washington, DC. |
[3] | Baharumshah, A.Z. and M. Ariff (1997) Purchasing Power Parity in South East Asian Countries: A Co-integration Approach, Asian Economic Journal, 11, 141-154. |
[4] | Bahmani-Oskooee, M., (1993) Purchasing Power Parity Based on Effective Exchange Rate and Co-integration; 25 LDCs Experience with its Absolute Formulation, World Development, 21, 1023-31. |
[5] | Bahmani-Oskooee, M., (1993) Purchasing Power Parity Based on Effective Exchange Rate and Co-integration; 25 LDCs Experience with its Absolute Formulation, World Development, 21, 1023-31. |
[6] | Balassa, B. (1964) The Purchasing Power Parity Doctrine: A Reappraisal. Journal of Political |
[7] | Bassem Kamar, “The appropriate monetary policy coordination for the GCC monetary union”, (2006), International university of Nice-Sophia Antipolis, pp. 1-24 |
[8] | Bassem Kamar, “Defacto exchange rate policies in the mena region: toward deeper co-operation”, (2004), International university of Monaco, pp. 1-19 |
[9] | Chinn, M. D. (2000) The Usual Suspects: Productivity and Demand Shocks and Asian-Pacific Exchange Rates. Review of International Economics 8:1, 20–43. |
[10] | Chishti Salim and Hasan M. Aynul, (1995), “What Determines the Behavior of Real Exchange Rate in Pakistan”, The Pakistan Development Review, Vol.34 pp.1015-1029 |
[11] | Choudhry, T. (2005) Asian Currency Crisis and the Generalized PPP: Evidence from the Far East, Asian Economic Journal, 19(2), 137-157. |
[12] | Co-integration Techniques”, Applied Economics, 20(10), pp. 1369 – 81. |
[13] | Dedi Cahyono, (2008), “Determinants of equilibrium real exchange rate and its misalignment in indonisia”, istitue of social studies, pp. 13- 55. |
[14] | Denes Kucsra, ” equilibrium exchange rate”, Comenius university Bratislava, (2007), pp. 1-48. |
[15] | Devarajan, R. (1997) Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in the CFA Zone, Journal of African Economies, Oxford, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 35 – 53. |
[16] | Dufrenot, G., and E. Yehoue, (2005) “Real Exchange Rate Misalignment: A Panel Co-integration and Common Factor Analysis,” IMF Working Paper 05/164 (Washington:International Monetary Fund). |
[17] | Economy 72, 584–596. |
[18] | Edwards, S., (1989) Real Exchange Rates, Devaluation, and Adjustment: Exchange Rate Policy in Developing Countries (Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press). |
[19] | Elbadawi, I. and R. Soto. (1997) “Real Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Adjustment in Sub- Saharan Africa and Other Developing Countries.” in Elbadawi, I. and R. Soto, (eds.), Foreign Exchange Market and Exchange Rate Policies in Sub-Saharan Africa, Supplementary Edition of the Journal of African Economies. |
[20] | Elbadawi, I., (1994) “Estimating Long Run Real Exchange Rates,” in Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates, ed by J. Williamson (Washington: Institute for International Economics). |
[21] | Engle, Robert F. and C. W. J. Granger (1987). “Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing,” Econometrica, 55, 251–276. |
[22] | Exchange Rate (BEER) to Botswana,” IMF Working Paper WP/06/140 (Washington: International Monetary Fund). |
[23] | Ghura, D. and T. J. Greenes (1993) “The Rea Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Performance in Sub-Saharan Africa,” Journal of Development Economics. 42: 155 – 174. |
[24] | “Guide to investing in Algeria”, KPMG Algerie SPA, (2012), 27 |
[25] | Iimi, A., (2006) “Exchange Rate Misalignment: An Application of the Behavioral Equilibrium |
[26] | Iossifov, P. and E. Loukoianova (2007) Estimation of a Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate Model for Ghana, IMF Working Paper WP/07/155 (Washington: International Monetary Fund). |
[27] | Johansen S. and K. Juselius, (1990) “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Co-integration, with Application to the Demand for Money”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 52 (may), pp. 169-210. |
[28] | Johansen, S., (1988) “Statistical Analysis of Co-integration Vectors”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 2 (June-September), pp. 231-54. |
[29] | Likka Korhonen and Tuuli Juurikkala, “Equilibrium Exchange rates in oil-dependent countries”,(2007), Bank Of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT), pp. 1-5. |
[30] | MacDonald, R., and J. Nagayasu, (1998) “On the Japanese Yen-U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate: A 31 Structural Econometric Model Based on Real Interest Differentials,” Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Vol. 12 (March), pp. 75–102. |
[31] | Maesofernandez, F.C. Osbat, B. Schnatz (2001) Determinants of the Euro Real Effective Exchange Rate: A BEER/PEER approach European Central Bank (ECB) Working Paper Series, No. 85. |
[32] | McNown, R. and M. Wallace, (1989) National Price Level, Purchasing Power Parity, and Co-integration: A test of Four High Inflation Economies, Journal of International Money and Finance, 8, 533-45. |
[33] | Mollick, A.V., (1999) The Real Exchange Rate in Brazil: Mean Reversion or Random Walk inthe Long run? International Review of Economics and Finance, 8, 115-126. |
[34] | Moosa, I. A., and R. H. Bhatti ( 1996) Does Purchasing Power Parity Hold between Japan and Other Asian Countries. Journal of International Economic Studies 10, 85–94. |
[35] | Phillips, P.C.B. and P. Perron (1988). “Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression,” Biometrika, 75, 335–346. |
[36] | Rogoff, Kenneth, 1996, “The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle”, Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 34, pp. 647-68. |
[37] | Sarantis, N., and C. Stewart (1993) Sea-Sanality, Co-integration and the Long-run Purchasing Power Parity: Evidence for Sterling Exchange Rates. Applied Economics 25, 243–250. |
[38] | Serven L., and A. Solimano, (1991), “An empirical Macroeconomic model for Policy Design: The case of Chile”, Research Policy Series No. 709, Washington DC, World Bank. |
[39] | Shehu Usman Rano, Aliyu, “ Real exchange rate misalignment: an application of behavioral equilibrium exchange rate to Nigeria”, (2008), Munich Personal RePEc archive, pp. 1-25. |
[40] | Taline Koranchelian, “The equilibrium real exchange rate in commodity exporting country: Algeria’s Experince”, (2005), IMF working paper, pp. 1-17. |
[41] | Taylor, M. P. “An Empirical Examination of Long run Purchasing Power Parity using co-integration thechnique” ,(1988), applied economics, pp. 1369-81. |
[42] | Williamson “Estimates of FEERs”, in J. Williamson: Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates, (1994), Washington, D.C., 177-244. |
[43] | Yotopoulos A. Pan and Sawada Yasuyuki, “Exchange Rate Misalignment: A New Test of Lung-Run PPP Based on Cross-Country Data”, (2005), CIRJE Discussion Paper, February. |
[44] | Zulfiqar Hyder and Adil Mahboub, “Equilibrium real effective exchange rate and exchange rate misalignment in Pakistan”, (2005), SBP electronic board, pp. 1-26. |
[45] | http://data.worldbank.org |
APA Style
Abbes Hiri. (2014). The Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment: Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate BEER to Algeria 1980-2009. International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences, 2(5), 277-284. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12
ACS Style
Abbes Hiri. The Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment: Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate BEER to Algeria 1980-2009. Int. J. Econ. Finance Manag. Sci. 2014, 2(5), 277-284. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12
AMA Style
Abbes Hiri. The Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment: Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate BEER to Algeria 1980-2009. Int J Econ Finance Manag Sci. 2014;2(5):277-284. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12
@article{10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12, author = {Abbes Hiri}, title = {The Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment: Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate BEER to Algeria 1980-2009}, journal = {International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences}, volume = {2}, number = {5}, pages = {277-284}, doi = {10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12}, url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12}, eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijefm.20140205.12}, abstract = {In this research paper, I determine equilibrium real exchange rate of Algerian Dinar (DZD) in order to see the influence of fundamental factors toward Algerian Dinar exchange rate, and to understand the appropriate level or sustainability long term trend. Furthermore, I figure out the misalignment for real exchange rate of Algerian dinar. The period of this research paper covers the post crisis era from 1980 to 2009 (quarterly). Using co-integrating regression, I find that variables OIL, GC, LQ, TR, NCF, CF, OPEN and TT have significant influence to real exchange rate in the long run. Misalignment episode gives us seven patterns of situation during this period which are undervaluation during the periods: 1981Q1-1984Q2, 1988Q1-1992Q4, 1994Q2-1996Q4, and 2002Q3-2008Q2; and overvaluation during the periods: 1984Q3-1987Q4, 1993Q1-1994Q1, and 1997Q1-2002Q2.}, year = {2014} }
TY - JOUR T1 - The Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment: Application of Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate BEER to Algeria 1980-2009 AU - Abbes Hiri Y1 - 2014/10/30 PY - 2014 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12 DO - 10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12 T2 - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences JF - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences JO - International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences SP - 277 EP - 284 PB - Science Publishing Group SN - 2326-9561 UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijefm.20140205.12 AB - In this research paper, I determine equilibrium real exchange rate of Algerian Dinar (DZD) in order to see the influence of fundamental factors toward Algerian Dinar exchange rate, and to understand the appropriate level or sustainability long term trend. Furthermore, I figure out the misalignment for real exchange rate of Algerian dinar. The period of this research paper covers the post crisis era from 1980 to 2009 (quarterly). Using co-integrating regression, I find that variables OIL, GC, LQ, TR, NCF, CF, OPEN and TT have significant influence to real exchange rate in the long run. Misalignment episode gives us seven patterns of situation during this period which are undervaluation during the periods: 1981Q1-1984Q2, 1988Q1-1992Q4, 1994Q2-1996Q4, and 2002Q3-2008Q2; and overvaluation during the periods: 1984Q3-1987Q4, 1993Q1-1994Q1, and 1997Q1-2002Q2. VL - 2 IS - 5 ER -